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Red47
140342.7
36072.2
518114.7
Blue5
108918.9
43733.7
49548.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41310206080100120140475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.5
26.126.6
Auto0.3
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 23.7
1089
#20
18.92.2
20.017.7
Auto1.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
5181
#15
14.70.5
14.114.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 6.5
4954
#35
8.32.2
8.15.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0
Third
3607
#37
2.20.5
0.61.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.5
End0.0
blue by 1.5
4373
#36
3.72.2
5.53.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.0
End0.0