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Red0
54908.6
508012.0
35715.7
Blue59
316713.7
27223.1
260743.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263050100150200059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
357
#25
15.71.8
14.312.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 27.4
43.20.0
35.235.2
Auto1.7
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
5080
#23
12.01.8
9.27.4
Auto0.4
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 11.1
272
#8
23.10.0
16.116.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Third
5490
#27
8.61.8
6.04.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 5.1
3167
#17
13.70.0
7.27.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0