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Red6
20419.1
48420.9
568415.5
Blue28
34119.5
50807.7
32118.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38310206080100120140628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#14
20.91.2
16.715.5
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 1.3
341
#8
19.50.3
10.910.6
Auto0.6
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
204
#27
19.11.2
12.911.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 0.4
321
#11
18.80.5
10.610.2
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5684
#23
15.520.7
28.17.4
Auto0.7
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 7.8
5080
#34
7.70.3
12.011.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0