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Red0
219111.8
57335.8
149511.0
Blue16
457515.5
475016.1
397424.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33420100150200016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2191
#31
11.81.4
15.013.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 13.2
3974
#12
24.91.7
18.416.7
Auto0.6
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
1495
#32
11.01.4
11.910.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 5.1
4750
#20
16.11.7
10.38.6
Auto0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
5733
#33
5.84.4
11.47.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.2
End0.0
blue by 9.7
4575
#19
15.51.7
13.712.0
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0