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Red50
518118.7
540713.4
121834.0
Blue102
43326.0
171228.9
20332.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4839020608010012050102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.1
24.424.5
Auto0.3
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 1.5
203
#2
32.55.0
13.818.8
Auto0.4
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
5181
#15
18.70.1
14.714.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 10.2
28.95.0
15.520.6
Auto0.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
5407
#16
13.40.1
9.39.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 12.6
433
#4
26.05.0
12.517.5
Auto0.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0