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Red34
32118.8
48618.5
81623.6
Blue81
121834.0
20332.5
218015.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525801001502003481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
#7
23.61.7
19.417.7
Auto0.4
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 10.4
34.01.1
22.423.5
Auto0.3
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
321
#11
18.81.7
13.511.7
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 13.7
203
#2
32.51.9
23.024.8
Auto0.4
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
486
#22
18.51.0
22.020.9
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 3.1
2180
#30
15.41.9
13.415.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0