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Red117
34119.5
437311.4
171228.9
Blue70
457515.5
434219.6
36529.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396205010015020011770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.96.1
27.433.5
Auto0.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
blue by 0.3
365
#6
29.21.3
28.329.6
Auto1.3
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
341
#8
19.53.7
11.515.1
Auto0.6
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Level
4342
#21
19.61.3
15.416.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
4373
#18
11.43.7
5.18.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4575
#19
15.51.3
16.617.9
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0