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Red44
434219.6
363717.7
48420.9
Blue18
32118.8
43326.0
218015.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526101001502004418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#14
20.90.8
21.620.8
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 5.1
433
#4
26.02.5
28.826.2
Auto0.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
4342
#21
19.60.8
18.818.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 0.8
321
#11
18.82.5
16.614.1
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
3637
#13
17.70.6
15.114.5
Auto0.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 2.4
2180
#30
15.42.5
16.814.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0