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Red10
70818.2
457515.5
540713.4
Blue14
475016.1
162614.4
36529.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446001001502001014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#9
18.21.9
14.712.8
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 11.0
365
#6
29.22.6
30.327.7
Auto1.3
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
4575
#19
15.52.6
19.016.4
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4750
#20
16.12.6
16.113.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
5407
#16
13.41.9
14.712.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1626
#28
14.42.6
13.010.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.9
End0.0