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Red94
32118.8
397424.9
540713.4
Blue85
518118.7
363717.7
20419.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464302060801009485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#12
24.92.9
20.223.1
Auto0.6
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 5.8
204
#27
19.12.4
14.316.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Second
321
#11
18.82.9
14.117.0
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Level
5181
#15
18.72.0
16.418.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
5407
#16
13.42.3
12.815.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 4.3
3637
#13
17.72.0
14.516.5
Auto0.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0