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Red82
36529.2
48420.9
392916.8
Blue92
20332.5
209511.0
30419.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645102040801001201401608292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#6
29.21.1
27.728.8
Auto1.3
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 3.3
203
#2
32.52.2
30.132.3
Auto0.4
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
484
#14
20.91.1
20.821.9
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 1.3
304
#10
19.51.8
17.419.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
3929
#24
16.81.1
15.416.5
Auto0.5
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 5.9
2095
#25
11.02.2
7.710.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0