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Red20
437311.4
48420.9
249517.2
Blue30
171228.9
223423.7
540713.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477101001502002030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#14
20.91.8
21.920.1
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 8.0
28.92.5
29.326.8
Auto0.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
2495
#26
17.21.8
19.617.7
Auto0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 6.5
2234
#17
23.72.0
25.723.7
Auto1.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Third
4373
#18
11.41.6
11.39.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5407
#16
13.42.0
15.113.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0