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Red66
20332.5
363717.7
56408.1
Blue57
30419.5
218015.4
518118.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555002040801001201406657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#2
32.50.5
32.332.8
Auto0.4
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 12.9
304
#10
19.50.2
19.319.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
3637
#13
17.70.5
16.516.9
Auto0.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5181
#15
18.70.2
18.418.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
5640
#29
8.10.5
7.68.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 7.2
2180
#30
15.40.2
15.115.4
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0