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Red74
32118.8
209511.0
36529.2
Blue61
34119.5
81623.6
457515.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535801001502007461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#6
29.21.0
28.829.8
Auto1.3
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 5.6
816
#7
23.60.1
24.024.1
Auto0.4
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
321
#11
18.81.0
17.018.0
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 0.8
341
#8
19.50.1
19.819.9
Auto0.6
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
2095
#25
11.01.0
10.011.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4575
#19
15.50.1
15.415.5
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0