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Red45
541321.4
404927.7
415012.8
Blue110
14422.0
162935.6
33724.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6255020408010012014016045110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.4
28.127.7
Auto0.1
Teleop27.7
End0.0
blue by 7.9
35.61.2
27.528.7
Auto3.3
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
21.40.4
21.821.4
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 3.5
337
#16
24.91.2
16.817.9
Auto1.9
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4150
#23
12.80.4
13.212.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 9.2
144
#33
22.01.2
13.815.0
Auto3.0
Teleop19.0
End0.0