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Red135
14422.0
162935.6
33724.9
Blue55
15620.1
395719.1
395519.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7055010015013555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.4
31.533.0
Auto3.3
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 15.5
156
#18
20.10.1
20.220.1
Auto1.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
337
#16
24.91.4
20.822.2
Auto1.9
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 5.3
3955
#17
19.60.1
19.719.6
Auto1.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
144
#33
22.01.4
17.819.3
Auto3.0
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 2.8
19.10.1
19.219.1
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0