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Red6
415012.8
3067.4
261429.9
Blue29
301530.3
33724.9
332413.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38510100150629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.92.5
20.818.3
Auto1.2
Teleop28.7
End0.0
blue by 0.5
30.31.8
18.716.9
Auto-0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
4150
#23
12.82.5
9.87.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 12.1
337
#16
24.91.8
15.513.7
Auto1.9
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
306
#48
7.42.5
11.08.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 5.6
3324
#43
13.11.8
16.814.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0