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Red36
170816.4
395425.2
29110.1
Blue23
402711.1
40504.2
11712.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412802060801001201403623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3954
#14
25.20.4
13.313.0
Auto0.8
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 13.2
117
#30
12.00.7
7.97.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Second
1708
#25
16.40.4
16.015.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
4027
#41
11.10.7
9.79.1
Auto0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
291
#36
10.10.4
11.010.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 5.9
4050
#52
4.20.7
13.212.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.4
End0.0