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Red81
162935.6
29110.1
264118.9
Blue112
101419.0
301530.3
188525.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5447020408010012014081112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.62.1
24.226.3
Auto3.3
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 5.3
30.35.2
20.926.0
Auto-0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
2641
#35
18.91.3
19.821.1
Auto0.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 6.7
1885
#10
25.65.2
15.420.6
Auto1.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
291
#36
10.12.1
11.313.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 8.9
1014
#19
19.05.2
13.919.0
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0