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Red26
46157.2
415012.8
14422.0
Blue20
25447.7
403115.7
35918.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3624060801001201402620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#33
22.00.8
15.314.5
Auto3.0
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 6.3
4031
#21
15.70.5
10.910.4
Auto1.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
4150
#23
12.80.8
9.28.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 4.4
3591
#49
8.40.5
9.08.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.5
End0.0
Third
4615
#31
7.20.8
10.69.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2544
#44
7.70.5
6.45.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0