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Red32
150733.4
112617.6
40504.2
Blue48
448418.6
261429.9
499121.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53530204060801001201403248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.9
26.724.8
Auto2.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 3.5
29.90.5
23.723.1
Auto1.2
Teleop28.7
End0.0
Second
1126
#29
17.61.9
18.316.4
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 3.7
4991
#11
21.30.5
15.314.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4050
#52
4.21.9
9.87.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.4
End0.0
blue by 14.4
4484
#15
18.60.5
15.515.0
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0