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Red8
44674.9
20518.2
239911.5
Blue6
40504.2
46157.2
395719.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25360608010012014086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#38
11.51.6
15.113.4
Auto1.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 7.7
19.12.4
17.314.9
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
2051
#46
8.21.6
4.73.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 1.0
4615
#31
7.22.4
9.97.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop7.6
End0.0
Third
4467
#54
4.91.6
7.86.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
red by 0.7
4050
#52
4.22.4
7.95.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.4
End0.0