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Red64
261429.9
11712.0
426922.6
Blue86
253421.9
174310.4
404927.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523502060801001201406486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.6
23.124.7
Auto1.2
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 2.1
27.74.9
19.824.7
Auto0.1
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Second
4269
#12
22.61.6
19.621.1
Auto0.6
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 0.7
2534
#13
21.94.9
18.423.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
117
#30
12.01.6
8.510.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 1.6
1743
#40
10.44.9
1.16.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.7
End0.0