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Red16
8888.7
260313.4
404927.7
Blue15
174310.4
4519.4
350418.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393302060801001201401601615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.9
13.011.0
Auto0.1
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 9.1
3504
#26
18.61.7
13.912.2
Auto0.5
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
2603
#37
13.41.9
14.112.2
Auto1.4
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 3.0
1743
#40
10.41.7
8.87.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Third
888
#51
8.71.9
12.210.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
451
#47
9.41.7
12.210.5
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.0