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Red70
12817.2
395719.1
4837.7
Blue80
403115.7
150733.4
15620.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444702060801001201401607080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#2
37.72.0
23.125.1
Auto0.1
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 4.3
33.42.6
26.829.5
Auto2.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
19.12.0
7.19.1
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
156
#18
20.12.6
11.514.1
Auto1.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
128
#20
17.22.0
16.118.1
Auto0.5
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 1.5
4031
#21
15.72.6
10.012.6
Auto1.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0