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Red10
44674.9
499121.3
101419.0
Blue65
37936.2
426922.6
35918.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365201001501065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#11
21.32.5
11.69.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 14.9
379
#1
36.21.6
19.721.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Second
1014
#19
19.02.5
14.812.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4269
#12
22.61.6
17.318.9
Auto0.6
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
4467
#54DQ
4.92.5
13.110.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 3.5
3591
#49
8.41.6
14.416.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.5
End0.0