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Red24
162935.6
239911.5
448418.6
Blue8
265611.2
30629.4
253421.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280206080100120140160248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.8
21.719.9
Auto3.3
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 13.7
2534
#13
21.92.0
14.512.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
4484
#15
18.61.8
12.110.3
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 7.4
2656
#39
11.22.0
9.17.1
Auto0.6
Teleop10.6
End0.0
Third
2399
#38
11.51.8
11.69.9
Auto1.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
red by 2.1
3062
#45
9.42.0
8.56.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.6
End0.0