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Red33
35918.4
301530.3
266511.5
Blue57
150733.4
11712.0
454715.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465102060801001201401603357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.2
23.221.9
Auto-0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 3.0
33.40.4
24.525.0
Auto2.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
2665
#32
11.51.2
14.813.6
Auto1.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 4.2
4547
#24
15.60.4
14.715.1
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
3591
#49
8.41.2
10.89.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 3.7
117
#30
12.00.4
12.613.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0