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Red60
25447.7
404927.7
101419.0
Blue64
57408.3
448418.6
395719.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573801001506064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.3
27.227.5
Auto0.1
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 8.6
19.11.7
16.217.9
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
1014
#19
19.00.3
20.821.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 0.4
4484
#15
18.61.7
17.118.7
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
2544
#44
7.70.3
8.28.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5740
#42
8.31.7
9.311.0
Auto0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0