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Red56
499121.3
33724.9
77218.5
Blue4
260313.4
4519.4
239911.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593802080100120140160564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#16
24.90.1
16.516.4
Auto1.9
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 11.5
2603
#37
13.42.8
16.213.4
Auto1.4
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Second
4991
#11
21.30.1
22.422.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 9.8
2399
#38
11.52.8
14.311.5
Auto1.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
Third
772
#27
18.50.1
18.718.5
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 9.2
451
#47
9.42.8
12.29.4
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.0