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Red68
225227.1
454715.6
448418.6
Blue88
174310.4
4837.7
415012.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614501001506888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#28
27.10.6
26.527.1
Auto0.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 10.6
48
#2
37.73.2
31.434.6
Auto0.1
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Second
4484
#15
18.60.6
18.719.3
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 5.9
4150
#23
12.83.2
10.613.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
4547
#24
15.60.6
15.115.6
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 5.2
1743
#40
10.43.2
7.210.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.7
End0.0