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Red188
247150.0
448884.4
451335.5
Blue192
95563.4
198384.7
293046.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157194050100250300188192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.40.3
84.184.4
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
84.70.1
84.784.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop85.2
End0.0
Second
2471
#18
50.00.3
49.750.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
blue by 13.4
955
#10
63.40.1
63.463.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
Third
4513
#16
35.50.3
35.235.5
Auto0.4
Teleop35.1
End0.0
blue by 11.3
2930
#43
46.80.1
46.946.8
Auto1.4
Teleop45.4
End0.0