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Red70
247150.0
448884.4
151041.8
Blue190
95563.4
198384.7
293046.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172191010030040070190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.41.9
85.984.1
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
84.70.1
84.884.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop85.2
End0.0
Second
2471
#18
50.01.9
51.549.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
blue by 13.4
955
#10
63.40.1
63.563.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
Third
1510
#14
41.81.9
43.741.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.4
End0.0
blue by 5.0
2930
#43
46.80.1
47.046.9
Auto1.4
Teleop45.4
End0.0