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Red156
247150.0
448884.4
151041.8
Blue161
49245.9
491545.2
252254.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175134100150200250156161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.40.3
83.983.5
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 29.6
2522
#20
54.70.3
54.554.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.8
End0.0
Second
2471
#18
50.00.3
49.549.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
red by 4.1
492
#15
45.90.3
45.645.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.0
End0.0
Third
1510
#14
41.80.3
41.641.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.4
End0.0
blue by 3.4
45.20.3
45.045.2
Auto0.1
Teleop45.2
End0.0