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Red178
131862.5
255067.0
446942.2
Blue137
299047.8
498035.3
142537.2
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17610450150200250178137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.00.1
66.666.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop67.1
End0.0
red by 19.2
2990
#13
47.80.3
47.547.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.0
End0.0
Second
62.50.1
62.262.3
Auto1.5
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 25.3
1425
#27
37.20.3
36.937.2
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Third
4469
#24
42.20.1
41.942.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 7.0
35.30.3
35.035.3
Auto0.6
Teleop34.7
End0.0