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Red80
406150.9
94861.6
302419.3
Blue160
159552.8
367447.9
290742.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351348010012016018020080160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#4
61.60.9
63.262.2
Auto11.3
Teleop50.3
End0.0
red by 8.8
1595
#12
52.80.3
52.552.8
Auto2.2
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Second
4061
#11
50.90.9
52.551.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 3.0
47.90.3
47.748.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Third
3024
#59
19.30.9
20.819.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 22.9
2907
#34
42.20.3
42.042.3
Auto0.2
Teleop42.0
End0.0