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Red98
406150.9
94861.6
302419.3
Blue158
445049.3
366364.5
491148.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12415405010020025030035098158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#4
61.60.6
62.261.6
Auto11.3
Teleop50.3
End0.0
blue by 2.8
64.50.0
62.262.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop64.8
End0.0
Second
4061
#11
50.90.6
51.550.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 1.6
4450
#21
49.30.0
47.147.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Third
3024
#59
19.30.6
19.919.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 28.9
4911
#45
48.20.0
46.046.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.4
End0.0