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Red211
95563.4
198384.7
293046.8
Blue139
159552.8
367447.9
290742.2
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19712750100150250300211139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.70.3
84.184.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop85.2
End0.0
red by 31.9
1595
#12
52.80.1
52.852.8
Auto2.2
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Second
955
#10
63.40.3
62.863.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
red by 15.4
47.90.1
48.047.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Third
2930
#43
46.80.3
46.346.6
Auto1.4
Teleop45.4
End0.0
red by 4.6
2907
#34
42.20.1
42.342.2
Auto0.2
Teleop42.0
End0.0