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Red121
299047.8
491836.6
339336.9
Blue153
247150.0
95563.4
321925.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93916080100120140121153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#13
47.81.3
41.642.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.0
End0.0
blue by 15.6
955
#10
63.42.8
50.152.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
Second
3393
#47
36.91.3
29.731.0
Auto0.0
Teleop36.9
End0.0
blue by 13.0
2471
#18
50.02.8
37.039.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
Third
4918
#28
36.61.3
23.825.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 11.2
3219
#30
25.42.8
9.412.2
Auto0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0