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Red236
49245.9
94861.6
142537.2
Blue90
549529.9
151041.8
214935.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026405015020023690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#4
61.66.8
39.145.9
Auto11.3
Teleop50.3
End0.0
red by 19.8
1510
#14
41.80.9
25.826.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
492
#15
45.96.8
37.544.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.0
End0.0
red by 10.9
2149
#50
35.00.9
30.531.4
Auto0.9
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Third
1425
#27
37.26.8
23.330.1
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 7.3
5495
#35
29.90.9
15.916.8
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0