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Red171
468140.4
558822.8
448884.4
Blue64
293046.8
84723.1
460829.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135915015020017164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.41.9
79.981.8
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 37.5
2930
#43
46.81.9
47.445.5
Auto1.4
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Second
4681
#32
40.41.9
34.436.3
Auto0.4
Teleop40.0
End0.0
red by 11.3
4608
#39
29.11.9
31.229.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Third
5588
#62
22.81.9
18.720.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 0.3
847
#61
23.11.9
22.921.0
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0