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Red108
154028.1
568327.9
49245.9
Blue176
198384.7
299047.8
323843.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82184050100150200250300108176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#15
45.90.3
45.445.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.0
End0.0
blue by 38.8
84.70.1
81.981.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop85.2
End0.0
Second
1540
#54
28.10.3
28.028.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 19.7
2990
#13
47.80.1
47.347.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.0
End0.0
Third
5683
#57
27.90.3
27.928.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 15.2
3238
#19
43.10.1
45.145.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop43.3
End0.0