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Red146
491836.6
358621.2
255067.0
Blue152
367447.9
99735.8
491148.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071160200400600800146152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.01.7
63.765.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop67.1
End0.0
red by 18.8
4911
#45
48.21.7
42.243.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
4918
#28
36.61.7
29.831.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 11.3
47.91.7
44.045.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Third
3586
#52
21.21.7
18.620.3
Auto0.3
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 14.6
997
#36
35.81.7
32.534.2
Auto0.2
Teleop35.7
End0.0