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Red161
511130.3
247150.0
177833.6
Blue126
574828.4
263548.4
151041.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041026080120140160161126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#18
50.02.8
50.553.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
red by 1.6
2635
#23
48.40.9
46.947.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.8
End0.0
Second
1778
#46
33.62.8
28.331.1
Auto0.4
Teleop33.2
End0.0
blue by 8.2
1510
#14
41.80.9
36.237.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Third
5111
#48
30.32.8
26.929.7
Auto0.7
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 1.9
5748
#58
28.40.9
24.925.8
Auto0.1
Teleop28.4
End0.0