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Red149
159552.8
204636.2
451335.5
Blue182
95563.4
491545.2
371135.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101220200300400500149182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#12
52.81.7
51.052.7
Auto2.2
Teleop50.6
End0.0
blue by 10.6
955
#10
63.42.9
57.059.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
Second
2046
#17
36.21.7
36.137.7
Auto1.7
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 9.1
45.22.9
38.441.2
Auto0.1
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Third
4513
#16
35.51.7
28.830.4
Auto0.4
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 0.2
3711
#38
35.32.9
29.432.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0