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Red129
94861.6
252140.9
214730.4
Blue104
412524.1
321831.0
357436.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12973050100150200250129104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#4
61.60.2
56.957.1
Auto11.3
Teleop50.3
End0.0
red by 24.9
3574
#41
36.71.0
34.735.7
Auto0.3
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Second
2521
#25
40.90.2
36.736.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 9.9
3218
#40
31.01.0
28.929.9
Auto0.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
2147
#31
30.40.2
31.331.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 6.3
4125
#63
24.11.0
21.222.2
Auto0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0