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Red138
358835.2
382630.3
366364.5
Blue168
339336.9
378922.8
198384.7
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111131050150200250300138168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.51.0
57.858.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop64.8
End0.0
blue by 20.2
84.71.8
81.983.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop85.2
End0.0
Second
3588
#56
35.21.0
32.433.4
Auto0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
blue by 1.8
3393
#47
36.91.8
33.034.8
Auto0.0
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Third
3826
#49
30.31.0
27.628.6
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 7.5
3789
#51
22.81.8
17.419.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0