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Red139
48833.4
293046.8
260542.4
Blue117
546827.6
491148.2
131862.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114128050150200250300350139117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#43
46.80.9
45.546.5
Auto1.4
Teleop45.4
End0.0
blue by 15.6
62.50.7
62.161.5
Auto1.5
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Second
2605
#22
42.40.9
40.941.9
Auto0.5
Teleop41.8
End0.0
blue by 5.8
4911
#45
48.20.7
43.843.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Third
488
#37
33.40.9
33.634.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.5
End0.0
red by 5.8
5468
#53
27.60.7
24.423.7
Auto0.3
Teleop27.3
End0.0