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Red127
263548.4
252254.7
323843.1
Blue178
255067.0
142537.2
36039.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213380100120160180200127178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#20
54.70.9
52.952.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.8
End0.0
blue by 12.2
67.01.9
65.467.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop67.1
End0.0
Second
2635
#23
48.40.9
47.846.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.8
End0.0
red by 9.2
360
#42
39.21.9
37.139.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Third
3238
#19
43.10.9
45.244.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 5.9
1425
#27
37.21.9
36.638.5
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0