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Red123
339336.9
451335.5
84723.1
Blue140
294434.4
406150.9
214935.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76123050100150200250123140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3393
#47
36.92.1
34.836.9
Auto0.0
Teleop36.9
End0.0
blue by 14.0
4061
#11
50.91.0
53.754.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
4513
#16
35.52.1
30.432.6
Auto0.4
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 0.5
2149
#50
35.01.0
33.934.9
Auto0.9
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Third
847
#61
23.12.1
21.023.1
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 11.3
2944
#29
34.41.0
32.833.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0